Life is a series of discounted cash flows

When I started at the derivatives desk in JPMorgan in 1999, this was the first thing they taught us. It provides a framework by which decisions can be made in almost any thing – take buying a home for example, or buying/leasing a car – your buying decision is not a function of the purchase price, but rather the present value of all cash flows – what you pay, plus taxes and maintenance less what you get when you sell the home/car. Now add the timing of the cash flows, and then discount it back to today. You can apply this approach to any financial decision to isolate and quantify the trade-offs that you make.

Of course, in many situations the cash flows, timing and discount rate are all uncertain – that’s what makes it fun and interesting, and where other aspects of the framework come into play.

Disclaimer: All views expressed in this article are that of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of his employer or any of its affiliates. The author may be associated as an investor or as an advisor with certain companies mentioned in this article.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *